Table 1 Models used to average posteriors by multiplication with the model weight
Response | Model | Explanatory | pWAIC | WAIC | SE | weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Symptoms | M1 | Spores, Time, Brood Spores × Time Spores × Brood Time × Brood Spores × Time × Brood | 62.6 | 481.6 | 34.12 | 0.51 |
M2 | Spores, Time, Brood Spores × Brood | 62.4 | 483.3 | 34.22 | 0.23 | |
M3 | Spores, Time, Brood Spores × Brood, Time × Brood | 63.1 | 483.8 | 34.18 | 0.18 | |
M4 | Spores, Time, Brood Spores × Time, Spores × Brood Time × Brood | 63.3 | 485.4 | 34.42 | 0.08 | |
Spores | M5 | Symptoms, Time, Bees Symptoms × Time | 118.4 | 2330.6 | 59.81 | 0.50 |
M6 | Symptoms, Time, Bees Symptoms × Time Symptoms × Bees, Time × Bees Symptoms × Time × Bees | 118.7 | 2332.4 | 59.23 | 0.20 | |
M7 | Symptoms, Time, Bees Time × Bees | 118.6 | 2332.7 | 59.56 | 0.18 | |
M8 | Symptoms, Time, Bees Symptoms × Bees, Time × Bees | 119.3 | 2333.4 | 59.51 | 0.12 | |
Bees | M9 | Spores, Time, Brood Spores × Time, Spores × Brood, Time × Brood Spores × Time × Brood | 78.2 | 1453.5 | 30.69 | 0.54 |
M10 | Spores, Time, Brood Spores × Time, Time × Brood | 81.0 | 1454.6 | 28.60 | 0.30 | |
M11 | Spores, Time, Brood Spores × Brood | 80.3 | 1457.2 | 29.16 | 0.08 | |
M12 | Spores, Time, Brood Spores × Time, Spores × Brood | 78.4 | 1457.4 | 30.95 | 0.08 | |
Brood | M13 | Symptoms, Time, Bees Symptoms × Bees | 141.6 | 1950.5 | 15.27 | 0.997 |
M14 | Symptoms, Time, Bees Symptoms × Time | 144.8 | 1962.8 | 12.60 | 0.002 | |
M15 | Symptoms, Time, Bees Symptoms × Time, Symptoms × Bees | 146.2 | 1965.3 | 12.34 | 0.0006 | |
M16 | Symptoms, Time, Bees Symptoms × Time, Time × Bees | 146.6 | 1966.0 | 13.00 | 0.0004 |