Fungal infection has sublethal effects in a lowland subtropical amphibian population

BMC Ecology

Table 2 Best fitting parameterizations of the Conditional Arnason–Schwarz and POPAN Models

Model	# of parameters	Deviance¹	AIC²	ΔAIC³	AIC weights⁴
Conditional Arnason–Schwarz model^a
Φ(.)p(to+t)Ψ(f * to + t)	21	487.1455	529.1455	0	0.4210
Φ(.)p(t)Ψ(f * to + t)	20	490.8493	530.8493	1.7038	0.1796
Φ(f)p(to + t)Ψ(f * to + t)	22	487.1309	531.1309	1.9854	0.1560
Φ(f)p(t)Ψ(f * to + t)	21	489.683	531.683	2.5375	0.1183
Φ(t)p(t)Ψ(f * to + t)	28	480.4241	532.4241	3.2786	0.0817
Φ(.)p(to + t)Ψ(t)	20	495.8178	535.8178	6.6723	0.0150
Φ(t)p(to + t)Ψ(f * to + t)	29	477.9171	535.9171	6.7716	0.0143
Φ(.)p(to + t)Ψ(i)	12	511.9563	535.9563	6.8108	0.0140
Φ(f * t)p(to * t)Ψ(f * to * t)	54	460.0165	546.0165	16.871	0
Φ(.)p(.)Ψ(.)	3	581.9903	587.9903	58.8448	0
POPAN model^b
Φ(.)p(t)p_ent(t)	14	− 1028.251	417.6716	0	0.9962
Φ(t)p(t)p_ent(t)	20	− 1030.5198	428.8351	11.1635	0.0038
Φ(t)p(.)p_ent(t)	15	− 1004.0417	444.0828	26.4112	0
Φ(.)p(.)p_ent(t)	9	− 962.111	473.0152	55.3436	0
Φ(.)p(.)p_ent(.)	3	30,658.918	32,081.5399	31,663.8683	0
Φ(t)p(t)p_ent(.)	15	30,659.738	32,107.8919	31,690.1903	0

Italicized terms are AIC values indicating the best fit models
¹Deviance is a measure for how well the model fits the data
²Akaike’s information criterion
³Change in AIC from the single best fit model
⁴AIC weight is the model probability within the candidate model set
^aProbabilities estimated are survival (Φ), capture (p), and disease state change (Ψ); and the variables examined to influence Φ, p and Ψ were time in months (t), Bd state at previous capture (to), Bd state of capture (f) and no variable (.)
^bProbabilities estimated are Φ, p, and probability of entry into the population (P_ent); these were modeled as either dependent upon time (t) or no variable (.)

ISSN: 1472-6785