Table 1 Model selection statistics (multistate approach) for semi-annual survival (Φ), recapture (p) and state-transition (ψ) probabilities of M. murinus depending on hair cortisol concentration and general body condition (measured as scaled mass index)
From: Hair cortisol concentrations correlate negatively with survival in a wild primate population
Rank | Model | K | QDEV | QAICc | Δ i | w i |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hair cortisol concentration (categorization cut-off: median) | ||||||
 1 | \(\varPhi \left( c \right)\;p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 8 | 200.78 | 515.10 | 0 | 0.147 |
 2 | \(\varPhi \left( s \right)\;p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 8 | 201.90 | 516.23 | 1.13 | 0.142 |
 3 | \(\varPhi \left( {c + s} \right) \, p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 9 | 199.96 | 516.44 | 1.34 | 0.126 |
 4 | \(\varPhi \left( c \right) \, p\left( \cdot \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 5 | 208.91 | 516.88 | 1.77 | 0.120 |
 53 | \(\varPhi \left( {c*s + t} \right) \, p\left( {s + t} \right) \, \psi \left( {c*t} \right)\) | 20 | 192.77 | 534.29 | 19.19 | 0.0001 |
Hair cortisol concentration (categorization cut-off: third quartile) | ||||||
 1 | \(\varPhi \left( c \right) \, p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 8 | 146.94 | 465.86 | 0 | 0.230 |
 2 | \(\varPhi \left( {c + s} \right) \, p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 9 | 146.08 | 467.16 | 1.30 | 0.120 |
 3 | \(\varPhi \left( c \right) \, p\left( \cdot \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 5 | 154.75 | 467.31 | 1.45 | 0.111 |
 4 | \(\varPhi \left( s \right) \, p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 8 | 148.66 | 467.59 | 1.73 | 0.097 |
 54 | \(\varPhi \left( {c*s + t} \right) \, p\left( {s + t} \right) \, \psi \left( {c*t} \right)\) | 20 | 138.21 | 484.33 | 18.47 | 0.00002 |
Scaled mass index (categorization cut-off: median) | ||||||
 1 | \(\varPhi \left( s \right) \, p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 7 | 114.35 | 330.82 | 0 | 0.272 |
 2 | \(\varPhi \left( c \right) \, p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 7 | 115.43 | 331.90 | 1.08 | 0.158 |
 54 | \(\varPhi \left( {c*s + t} \right) \, p\left( {s + t} \right) \, \psi \left( {c*t} \right)\) | 16 | 109.73 | 346.67 | 15.85 | 0.0004 |
Scaled mass index (categorization cut-off: third quartile) | ||||||
 1 | \(\varPhi \left( c \right) \, p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 7 | 102.53 | 323.87 | 0 | 0.229 |
 2 | \(\varPhi \left( {c + s} \right) \, p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 8 | 101.34 | 324.85 | 0.99 | 0.140 |
 3 | \(\varPhi \left( s \right) \, p\left( t \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 7 | 103.72 | 325.06 | 1.19 | 0.127 |
 4 | \(\varPhi \left( c \right) \, p\left( {s + t} \right) \, \psi \left( c \right)\) | 8 | 102.03 | 325.55 | 1.68 | 0.099 |
 54 | \(\varPhi \left( {c*s + t} \right) \, p\left( {s + t} \right) \, \psi \left( {c*t} \right)\) | 16 | 96.91 | 338.72 | 14.85 | 0.0001 |