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Table 2 Bayesian general linear mixed models testing the influence of several predictor variables on the probability of sharing the same E. coli MLST or a single locus variant

From: Social structure and Escherichia coli sharing in a group-living wild primate, Verreaux’s sifaka

Model

Predictor

Posterior mean coefficient

95 % Confidence interval

MCMCglmm P value

Odds ratioa

A

Intercept

−2.64

−3.63, −1.74

<0.001

 

(DIC: 474.2)

Same sex

−0.27

−0.83, 0.26

0.346

0.76

 

Same birth year

−0.46

−1.83, 0.81

0.502

0.63

 

Same natal group

0.09

−1.07, 1.26

0.879

1.09

 

Same group

1.04

0.1, 2.16

0.048

2.83

 

Same sampling month

0.05

−0.59, 0.67

0.879

1.05

 

Same sampling method

0.05

−0.78, 0.8

0.88

1.05

B

Intercept

−2.87

−4.12, −1.64

<0.001

 

(DIC: 305.96)

Same sex

−0.34

−1.04, 0.35

0.354

0.71

 

Same birth year

−2.36

−5.2, 0.15

0.037

0.09

 

Same natal group

0.55

−1.24, 2.38

0.565

1.73

 

Space-use sharing (UDOI)

0.43

0.07, 0.78

0.021

1.54

 

Same sampling month

0.22

−0.65, 1.04

0.585

1.25

 

Same sampling method

−0.12

−1.06, 0.9

0.831

0.89

C

Intercept

−2.91

−4.22, −1.71

<0.001

 

(DIC: 305.87)

Same sex

−0.31

−1.05, 0.37

0.386

0.73

 

Same birth year

−2.31

−5.15, 0.18

0.046

0.1

 

Same natal group

0.32

−1.8, 2.16

0.741

1.38

 

Intergroup encounter rate

0.46

0.12, 0.81

0.015

1.58

 

Same sampling month

0.18

−0.7, 1

0.665

1.2

 

Same sampling method

−0.05

−1, 1.02

0.949

0.95

  1. Models B and C included only the 8 neighboring groups and excluded ties within the same social group. UDOI and intergroup encounter rate were z-transformed. Significant P values (<0.05) are printed in italics
  2. aThe odds ratio is the multiplicative increase in the odds of sharing the same or a closely related ST with each unit increase in the explanatory variable