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Table 2 Model ranking for models estimating age-specific survival and recapture probability

From: Complex interplay between intrinsic and extrinsic drivers of long-term survival trends in southern elephant seals

Model

ΔQAIC c

w QAIC c

k

High density (1951–1964)

   

Ï•(age-t/t) p(age-t/t)

0.000

0.948

38

Ï•(age-t/t) p(t)

5.820

0.052

29

Ï•(t) p(age-t/t)

19.140

<0.001

27

Ï•(t) p(t)

49.100

<0.001

22

Ï•(.) p(t)

122.780

<0.001

15

Low density (1993–1999)

   

Ï•(age-t/t) p(age-t/t)

0.000

0.999

17

Ï•(age-t/t) p(t)

19.670

<0.001

13

Ï•(t) p(age-t/t)

72.570

<0.001

13

Ï•(t) p(t)

107.070

<0.001

9

Ï•(.) p(t)

112.770

<0.001

7

  1. Effects of time (t), and age (age-juvenile/adult) on the probability of survival (ϕ) and recapture (p) of southern elephant seals during the high- (1951–1964) and low-density (1993–1999) eras. Models are ranked according to their Akaike weights (w QAIC c ), the relative change in AIC c score (ΔQAIC c ), and number of parameters (k) based on an inflation factor (ĉ) of 1.3664.