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Table 1 Summary of the publications reviewed with regard to several factors.

From: Current models broadly neglect specific needs of biodiversity conservation in protected areas under climate change

Reference

Species type

Species nr.

Geograph. distribution

Spatial setting

Temporal scale

Methods

Land use

Dispersal

Management

[33]

P

1200

Europe

pa-s

2050

s (bcm)

no

y (m)

t

[12]

P

3

Australia

pa-s

2030;2070

s (bcm)

no

no

d

[10]

P; M

213

USA

8

na

s & p-b (DGVM)

no

no

no

[34]

P;M;B;A;F;L;MO;BR

131

USA

pa-s

2011-2040; 2061-2090

s (bcm)

no

y (sm)

t

[26]

B

50

SA; Swaziland; Lesotho

pa-s

2070-2080; 2090-2100

s (bcm)

y (cm)

y (m)

d

[72]

P

na

USA

pa-s

na

s (bcm)

no

no

d

[30]

M; B

11

USA

1

2040

s (bcm)

y (cm)

no

d

[73]

P

327

SA (CFR)

pa-s

2050

s (bcm)

y (cm)

y (m)

d

[35]

P;B;M

1695

Europe; CFR; Mexico

pa-s

2050

s (bcm)

y (m)

y (m)

t

[74]

B

1608

Sub-Saharan-Africa

803

2025; 2055; 2085

s (bcm)

no

no

d

[75]

P

na

Switzerland

109

na

s (bcm)

no

no

d

[76]

na

na

global

pa-s

2070-2100

s (MCE)

y (m)

no

no

[27]

P

1

Austria

214

2050, 2080

s (bcm)

y (m)

no

d

[2]

B;M;A;R;

25711

global

30965

2000;2050;2100

s (MA)

y (cm)

no

d

[59]

P

na

Canada

2979

na

p-b (GVM)

no

no

d

[77]

P

8

Mexico

69

2025; 2065

s (bcm)

no

no

d

[78]

B

38

Brazil

73 & 1000

2050

s (bcm)

no

y (m)

d

[7]

P

5197

Africa

IPCs & IPAs*

2025;2055;2085

s (bcm)

no

no

d

[50]

P

282

SA (CFR)

pa-s

2010-2050

s (bcm)

y (m)

y (sm)

t

[54]

P

301

SA (CFR)

pa-s

2000;2050

s (bcm)

no

y (sm)

d

[58]

P

na

Canada

39

na

p-b (GVM)

no

no

d

[31]

P

20

Mexico

1

2030-2060;2060-2100

s (bcm)

no

no

d

[79]

P

29

Mexico

pa-s

2050

s (bcm)

no

no

d

[60]

P

159

Namibia

12

2050;2080

s (bcm) & p-b (DGVM)

no

y (m)

d

[80}

P

31

Scotland

3

2080

s (bcm)

no

no

no

[81]

hlz

na

Africa

pa-s

2065;2100

s (hlz)

y (indirect in hlz)

no

no

[82]

hlz

na

Mexico

33

na

s (hlz)

y (indirect in hlz)

no

d

[4]

B;I;A;M

9

Europe

pa-s

2020;2050

s (bcm)

y (m)

y (sm)

t

[57]

P

na

Brazil

pa-s

na

s & p-b

y (m)

no

d

[32]

M

1

USA

1

2025

s & pop-dyn.

no

no

d

[8]

P

316

SA (CFR)

pa-s

2050

s (bcm)

y (m)

y (sm)

t

[9]

B

12

Sub-Saharan-Africa

pa-s

2055

s (bcm)

y (m)

no

d

  1. Abbreviations:
  2. P: Plants; M: Mammals; B: Birds; I: Insects; R: Reptiles; A: Amphibiens; F: Fungi; L: Lichen; MO: Molluscs; BR: Bryophytes
  3. na: not applicable (consider different units than species number, e.g. biome change);
  4. hlz: holdrigde life zone; pa-s: already existing protected area system
  5. s: statistical; p-b: process-based; bcm: bioclimatic modeling; MA: Millenium Ecosystem Assessment; pop-dyn.: population dynamics; MCE: mediterranean climate extent;
  6. GVM: global vegetation model; DGVM: dynamic global vegetation model;
  7. Land use: y (m): land use modeled; y (cm): land use changes modeled
  8. Dispersal: y (m): dispersal modeled as full or null dispersal; y (sm): species-specific dispersal characteristics modeled;
  9. Management: t: tested; d: discussed
  10. * IPC: Important Plant Cell, IPA: Important Plant Area